NFL Top Plays Based on Betting Splits, Power Ratings and Trends – Week 15

[carlitosway]

This Week’s NFL Betting Trends:​

The following NFL betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NFL games of Week 15. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s NFL board.

AJ’s Angles​

These are the top NFL betting trends and systems for this week’s NFL games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
* NFL teams that lose while allowing fewer than 12 points have fared well in their follow-up game, going 18-8 SU and 21-5 ATS (80.8%) since 2015.
System Match (PLAY): TENNESSEE (+5 vs. CIN)
* Over the total is 11-1 in the last 12 of the Washington-New Orleans series
Trend Match: PLAY OVER the total in WAS-NO (o/u at 43.5)
NFL Streaks Betting System #7: NFL road teams that have lost their last three games outright and are facing a team with more than a 50% winning percentage better than them are 13-76 SU but 59-30 ATS (66.3%) as underdogs of 5.5-points or more since 2006.
System Match (PLAY): CHICAGO (+6.5 at MIN)
*The last 26 Monday Night Football games featuring a home underdog have seen Under the total go 19-5-2 (79.2%), games producing just 38.4 PPG.
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total in ATL-LVR (o/u at 44)
*Minnesota is Over the total in 12 of the last 14 rematch games
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CHI-MIN (o/u at 43.5)
*Play Under the total in games where a team is coming out of its bye week after losing in upset fashion before the bye. (Record: 32-15-1 Under since 1992, 68.1%, +15.5 Units, 33% ROI, Grade 62)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BAL-NYG (o/u at 42.5)
* INDIANAPOLIS is 24-21 SU and 32-12 ATS vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG since 2010
Trend Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLIS (+4 at DEN)
* CINCINNATI is on an incredible 16-1 SU and ATS run as a road favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (-5 at TEN)
* NY JETS’ Aaron Rodgers is 18-5 SU and ATS with his team coming off a divisional loss since 2010
Trend Match (PLAY): NY JETS (-3 at JAX)
#1 UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections: ARIZONA -6 vs. NE (+3.0 difference)

Strategies Using NFL DraftKings Betting Splits Data​

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals.
In an article published in the 2024 NFL Betting Guide, Steve Makinen outlined 12 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that developed in the 2022 and 2023 season. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Wednesday. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage.
Here are the systems with language and records updated from midway through the 2024 season and will continue to track for the rest of the season.
NFL DK Betting Splits system #1: Over the past two-plus seasons, when more than 65% of the handle has been on a particular side of an ATS wager, this majority group is just 130-139 ATS (48.3%). The number for this “super-majority” in college football was closer to 80%. The record for this year has been 34-28 AYS, including 21-9 ATS backing road teams. It’s hard to see this one continuing. We will continue to recommend that if you see 2/3 of the handle backing one side in an NFL game this season, it’s consistently profitable to fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): WASHINGTON, NY JETS, CINCINNATI, BALTIMORE, CLEVELAND, CAROLINA, DENVER
NFL DK Betting Splits system #2: In NFL divisional games of 2022-24, DK majority handle bettors have been awful, as this majority group is just 91-117 ATS (43.8%). With the obvious generality that public bettors love favorites, it’s clear that they don’t value the stakes of these rivalry games and what they mean for the competitors.
System Matches (FADE): LA RAMS
NFL DK Betting Splits system #3: Similarly to #2 above, in that same time span, when the majority number of bets staked its side in an NFL divisional game, this majority group is just 96-114 ATS (45.7%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): LA RAMS, MINNESOTA
NFL DK Betting Splits system #4: In NFL non-conferences games of 2023 and 2024, DK majority number of bets groups have actually been quite sharp, as this majority group is 60-50 ATS (54.5%), performing at nearly the exact same level in each season. This is obviously quite the opposite performance level of #2 above, and unfortunately for bettors, there are two fewer non-conference tilts than divisional contests for each team on the schedule every year. Of course, if strategically playing both spots according to these systems, every game in either situation is an opportunity.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BALTIMORE, PITTSBURGH, DETROIT, LA CHARGERS, ARIZONA, ATLANTA
NFL DK Betting Splits system #5: Since the start of the 2022 season, when the majority number of bets has backed road favorites for an ATS wager, these majority groups are just 108-123 ATS (46.7%). I will tell you that there are only 15 games or less each year when this group will actually back the home dog. However, this system is 28-18 ATS for 2024, a major factor as to why bettors are doing well overall. I suspect if (or when) this turns, DK will regain the advantage.
System Matches (FADE ALL): WASHINGTON, NY JETS, CINCINNATI, BALTIMORE, KANSAS CITY, GREEN BAY, ATLANTA
NFL DK Betting Splits system #6: When the majority number of bets was on road underdogs for an ATS wager, these majority groups have actually produced adequate records, 71-65 ATS (52.2%) going back to September 2022. This matches up somewhat with the logic I used in explaining some college successes. When the public goes “against the grain,” they can do well.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): LA RAMS, MIAMI, PITTSBURGH
NFL DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority handle and number of bets have backed a team in an ATS wager in the higher-profile, non-Sunday afternoon games over the last two seasons, these majority groups are just 78-95 ATS (45.1%) and 76-94 ATS (44.7%) respectively. This set of games includes all the Thursday, Saturday, Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night contests.
System Matches (FADE ALL): LA RAMS, GREEN BAY
NFL DK Betting Splits system #8: In another rare winning record, when the majority of the handle has backed the team with fewer season wins in a 2022-24 NFL game for an ATS wager, this majority group is 69-56 ATS (55.2%). This has proven to be another situation in which going against the grain pays off.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CAROLINA, CLEVELAND, PITTSBURGH, LAS VEGAS
The following are some new money line systems we will be employing going forward.
NFL DK Betting Splits system #9: When the majority handle has backed a team in a money line wager but not real strongly (in the 40%-60%) range, they have really struggled in 2024, going 16-26 for -13.71 units of loss, a ROI of -32.6%. It seems that conviction is an important thing when majority groups get together. If it seems as if the DK betting public might be “guessing” as to who wins, fade it.
System Matches (FADE ALL): LA RAMS ML, PHILADELPHIA ML, DETROIT ML
NFL DK Betting Splits system #10: Super majority handle bettors of more than 75% have also struggled in games when backing bigger favorites on money lines. In games with point spreads of -4.5 or higher (approx. -225 or more ML), this super majority group has gone just 23-13 but for -15.53 units of loss, an ROI of -43.1% in ‘24. Public bettors tend to look at these games as more “automatic” wagers, and as you can tell, they aren’t.
System Matches (FADE ALL): WASHINGTON ML, CINCINNATI ML, BALTIMORE ML, ARIZONA ML, MINNESOTA ML, ATLANTA ML
NFL DK Betting Splits system #11: Majority number of bets groups have been at their best in 2024 on money lines in the Sunday afternoon games when backing small favorites (4 points or less, and approximately -220 or less). These groups boast an impressive 33-10 record for +18.93 units of profit and an ROI of +44%! These include the games in the 1:00 p.m. ET-4:30 p.m. ET starting slots, and with more choices at these times, bettors are faring well.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): HOUSTON ML, NY JETS ML, KANSAS CITY ML, DETROIT ML, DENVER ML, LA CHARGERS ML, GREEN BAY ML
These next systems cover totals.
NFL DK Betting Splits system #12: Since 2022, the average NFL total has been around 44 or a tic higher. Since mid-2023, majority handle bettors have been very sharp in dealing with totals at or below that number (44 or less). In fact, since November 2023, these groups have gone 97-66 (59.5%). It’s in the higher totaled games that they typically fare worse.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – WAS-NO, BAL-NYG, DAL-CAR, IND-DEN, CHI-MIN
UNDER – NYJ-JAX, PIT-PHI, ATL-LVR
NFL DK Betting Splits system #13: When 56% or more of the handle has been on the Under in an NFL game total over the last two seasons, this majority group has been quite sharp, 70-52 ATS (57.4%). This number for a “super-majority” in the NFL is quite low, evidence of how rarely the betting public bets the low side of a total. Incidentally, the same majority figure for the number of bets has also produced a 54-39 (58.1%) record.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): LAR-SF, NYJ-JAX, CIN-TEN, PIT-PHI, NE-ARI, ATL-LVR
NFL DK Betting Splits system #14: Quite the opposite of #9, the magic mark for a super majority on the handle for betting Overs was 64% or higher, and this group performed miserably in 2022-24 with a record of 121-153 (44.2%). To me, this has been a long-standing belief, but when the Over looks too obvious, it usually loses.
System Matches (INSTEAD PLAY UNDER ALL): WAS-NO, MIA-HOU, BAL-NYG, KC-CLE, DAL-CAR, BUF-DET, GB-SEA
NFL DK Betting Splits system #15: Call this one the Over trap, but when a super-majority (>=64%) of the handle has been on the Over, but DraftKings moved the opening total lower throughout the week, this majority group has lost big, going just 50-74 (40.3%) over the past two-plus seasons. Almost as if they were trying to bait more people into taking the Over. This is a classic example of where those behind the counter are smarter than those trying to cash the tickets.
System Matches (INSTEAD PLAY UNDER ALL): MIA-HOU, BAL-NYG, KC-CLE, DAL-CAR, GB-SEA

Coach/QB Team-Specific Situational NFL Betting Trends​

These are some of the top situational NFL betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:
(451) LA RAMS at (452) SAN FRANCISCO
* LA RAMS are 14-5 SU and 15-3 ATS when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2018
* LA RAMS are on 19-7 SU and 21-5 ATS December run since 2018
* LA RAMS’s Matthew Stafford is 20-10 Over the total with his team playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2012
Systems Match: PLAY LA RAMS (+3 at SF), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 49.5)
* SAN FRANCISCO is on 14-2 Over the total surge as home favorite of -3 to -7 points
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Kyle Shanahan is on 4-4 SU and 0-8 ATS skid when coming off a home win
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Brock Purdy is 2-5 SU and 0-7 ATS in the last seven starts following up a game in which his team scored 30+ points
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Brock Purdy is on 8-3 Over the total surge vs. divisional opponents
Systems Match: FADE SAN FRANCISCO (-3 vs. LAR), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 49.5)
(455) WASHINGTON at (456) NEW ORLEANS
* WASHINGTON’s Dan Quinn is 22-10 Over the total in games after scoring 30+ points since 2015
* WASHINGTON’s Dan Quinn is 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2019
* WASHINGTON is 22-10-1 ATS (68.8%) when coming off SU win since 2019
Systems Match: PLAY WASHINGTON (-7.5 at NO), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 43.5)
* NEW ORLEANS’ Derek Carr is 19-7 Over the total as a home dog of +3 to +7 points since 2014 (*if line falls in this range, +7.5 currently)
* NEW ORLEANS’ Derek Carr is on 12-3 Over the total run vs. teams with a better record
* NEW ORLEANS’ Derek Carr is 23-33 SU and 20-34-2 ATS (37%) vs. NFC foes (the average line was +0.4, team average PF: 21.4)
* NEW ORLEANS is 23-41 ATS (35.9%) at home since 2017
Systems Match: FADE NEW ORLEANS (+7.5 vs. WAS), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 43.5)
(457) MIAMI at (458) HOUSTON
* MIAMI’s Mike McDaniel is on 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS skid as a single-digit underdog
* MIAMI’s Tua Tagovailoa is on 13-5 SU and ATS surge with his team coming off a home win
* MIAMI’s Tua Tagovailoa is 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS in his last 10 starts versus teams with winning records
Systems Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of MIAMI (+3 at HOU)
* HOUSTON’s DeMeco Ryans is on 7-1 Under the total streak as a home favorite
* HOUSTON’s CJ Stroud is 12-5 Under the total in the last 17 games with his team coming off a win
Systems Match: PLAY UNDER the total in MIA-HOU (o/u at 47)
(459) NY JETS at (460) JACKSONVILLE
* NY JETS’ Aaron Rodgers is 18-5 SU and ATS with his team coming off a divisional loss since 2010
* NY JETS’ Aaron Rodgers is 20-8 Over the total as a single-digit road favorite since 2015
* NY JETS’ Aaron Rodgers is 8-13 SU and 5-16 ATS as a single-digit road favorite since 2021
* NY JETS are 10-26 ATS (27.8%) as a favorite since 2017
Systems Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of NY JETS (-3 at JAX), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 40.5)
* JACKSONVILLE’s Doug Pederson owns a 14-7 SU and 15-5 ATS record when coming off an upset win since 2017
* JACKSONVILLE’s Mac Jones is 1-14 SU and 2-13 ATS (13.3%) as an underdog of 7 points or less (the average line was +3.1, team average PF: 16.1)
Systems Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of JACKSONVILLE (+3 vs. NYJ)
(461) CINCINNATI at (462) TENNESSEE
* CINCINNATI is on an incredible 16-1 SU and ATS run as road favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2015
* CINCINNATI is 54-64 SU but 72-43 ATS on the road dating back to 2011
* CINCINNATI’s Zac Taylor boasts an 18-5 SU and 16-5 ATS record as a favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2022
* CINCINNATI’s Joe Burrow is 13-4 Under the total versus non-divisional AFC foes since 2022
Systems Match: PLAY CINCINNATI (-5 at TEN), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 46.5)
* TENNESSEE is 21-10 SU and 21-9 ATS when coming off a home loss since 2015
* TENNESSEE is on 7-24 SU and 7-23-1 ATS skid in Sunday games
* TENNESSEE is 33-48-1 ATS (40.7%) in non-divisional conference games since 2014
Systems Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of TENNESSEE (+5 vs. CIN)
(463) BALTIMORE at (464) NY GIANTS
* BALTIMORE’s Lamar Jackson is 8-4 SU but 2-10 ATS in the last 12 games vs. poor teams with winning percentage <=33%
* BALTIMORE is 42-22 ATS (65.6%) in road/neutral games since 2017
Systems Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of BALTIMORE (-16 at NYG)
* NY GIANTS are 24-4 Under the total as home underdogs since 2020
* NY GIANTS are 53-26 Under the total (67.1%) since 2020
Systems Match: PLAY UNDER BAL-NYG (o/u at 42.5)
(465) KANSAS CITY at (466) CLEVELAND
* KANSAS CITY is 54-37-1 ATS (59.3%) in road/neutral games since 2014
System Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY (-4 at CLE)
* CLEVELAND’s Kevin Stefanski is 21-10 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2020
System Match: PLAY OVER the total in KC-CLE (o/u at 44)
(467) DALLAS at (468) CAROLINA
* DALLAS is 24-8 SU and 22-10 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2020
* DALLAS is 19-18 SU but 12-24 ATS when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2010
* DALLAS’s Mike McCarthy boasts a 14-1 SU and 12-3 ATS record in L15 games vs. poor teams being outscored by 4.5 PPG or more
Systems Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of DALLAS (+3 at CAR)
* CAROLINA is 16-32 ATS (33%) as a favorite since 2016
System Match: FADE CAROLINA (-3 vs. DAL)
(469) PITTSBURGH at (470) PHILADELPHIA
* PITTSBURGH is 18-7 SU and 19-6 ATS vs. teams with better records since 2013
* PITTSBURGH’s Mike Tomlin is on a 30-19 SU and 35-12 ATS run as a single-digit underdog
* PITTSBURGH’s Russell Wilson is on 15-4 Over the total surge vs. teams with better records
* PITTSBURGH’s Russell Wilson is 22-14 SU and 26-11 ATS vs. teams with elite defenses allowing <19 PPG since 2012
* PITTSBURGH’s Russell Wilson is 9-0 Over the total in last nine starts as non-conference road underdog
Systems Match: PLAY PITTSBURGH (+5.5 at PHI), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 42.5)
* PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 SU and 14-3 ATS vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG since 2020
* PHILADELPHIA is 18-5 Over the total when coming off a home win since 2021
* PHILADELPHIA’s Nick Sirianni boasts a 16-2 SU and 12-5 ATS record as a single-digit home favorite since 2021
Systems Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-5.5 vs PIT), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 42.5)
(471) BUFFALO at (472) DETROIT
* BUFFALO is 19-6 SU and 20-5 ATS vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG since 2018
* BUFFALO’s Sean McDermott is 26-13 Under the total when coming off an outright loss since 2017
* BUFFALO’s Josh Allen is 34-19 Under the total on the road since 2018
Systems Match: PLAY BUFFALO (+2.5 at DET), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 54.5)
* DETROIT is 13-6 SU and 17-3 ATS when playing with extra rest (>7 days) since 2019
* DETROIT is on 18-9 SU and 20-6-1 ATS run vs. teams with a winning record
* DETROIT is 11-1 Over the total when playing as a favorite of less than 3 points since 2017
* DETROIT’s Dan Campbell is 13-5 Under the total in games after allowing 30+ points since 2015
* DETROIT is 22-8-1 ATS (73.3%) at home since 2021
Systems Match: PLAY DETROIT (-2.5 vs. BUF), also 1 PLAY OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 54.5)
(473) INDIANAPOLIS at (474) DENVER
* INDIANAPOLIS is 16-17 SU and 23-10 ATS vs. elite teams with point differentials of >=+4.5 PPG since 2015
* INDIANAPOLIS is 24-21 SU and 32-12 ATS vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG since 2010
Systems Match: PLAY INDIANAPOLIS (+4 at DEN)
* DENVER is 22-33 ATS (40%) as a favorite since 2017
* DENVER is 96-65 Under the total (59.6%) since 2015
Systems Match: FADE DENVER (-4 vs. IND), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 44)
(475) TAMPA BAY at (476) LA CHARGERS
* TAMPA BAY is on 25-8 Over the total surge as a single-digit road underdog
* TAMPA BAY’s Todd Bowles is 12-5 Over the total vs. teams with a better record since 2017
* TAMPA BAY’s Baker Mayfield is 8-17 SU but 16-9 ATS as a road underdog since 2020
Systems Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (+2.5 at LAC), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 45.5)
* LA CHARGERS are on 24-8 Under the total surge in Sunday games
* LA CHARGERS are on 14-2 Under the total streak when playing on normal rest (7 days)
* LA CHARGERS are 35-49-1 ATS (41.7%) at home since 2014
Systems Match: FADE LA CHARGERS (-2.5 vs TB), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 45.5)
(477) NEW ENGLAND at (478) ARIZONA
* NEW ENGLAND is 14-24-2 ATS (36.8%) as an underdog since 2021
System Match: FADE NEW ENGLAND (+6 at ARI)
* ARIZONA’s Kyler Murray is 11-1 SU and ATS in the last 12 games vs. poor offensive teams scoring <19 PPG
* ARIZONA’s Kyler Murray is just 2-9 SU and ATS in his last 11 starts as a favorite
* ARIZONA’s Kyler Murray is 7-1 Over the total vs. teams with a losing record since 2022
* ARIZONA is 39-18 SU and 36-21 ATS vs. poor teams with winning percentages <=33% since 2012
Systems Match: 2 PLAYs, 1 FADE of ARIZONA (-6 vs. NE), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 46)
(479) GREEN BAY at (480) SEATTLE
* GREEN BAY is 23-10 Over the total as a road favorite since 2015
* GREEN BAY’s Matt Lafleur is 17-12 SU but 10-19 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2021
* GREEN BAY is 22-14 ATS (61.1%) when coming off SU loss since 2018
Systems Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of GREEN BAY (-2.5 at SEA), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 45.5)
* SEATTLE is 19-8 Over the total vs. teams with a better record since 2011
* SEATTLE is 37-25 ATS (59.7%) as an underdog since 2016
Systems Match: PLAY SEATTLE (+2.5 vs. GB), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 45.5)
(481) CHICAGO at (482) MINNESOTA
* CHICAGO is 8-22 SU and 10-20 ATS versus divisional opponents since 2019
* CHICAGO is 27-45 ATS (37.5%) in road/neutral games since 2016
Systems Match: FADE CHICAGO (+6.5 at MIN)
* MINNESOTA is 20-11 SU but only 9-22 ATS in its last 31 games as a home favorite
* MINNESOTA’s Sam Darnold is 6-11 SU and 3-13-1 ATS in last 17 starts vs. teams with losing records
Systems Match: FADE MINNESOTA (-6.5 vs. CHI)
(483) ATLANTA at (484) LAS VEGAS
* ATLANTA is 56-46 SU but 37-65 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2012
* ATLANTA’s Raheem Morris is on 9-5 Over the total surge vs. teams with a losing record
* ATLANTA’s Kirk Cousins is 18-13 SU and 20-9 ATS with his team coming off a road loss since 2015
* ATLANTA’s Kirk Cousins is 9-1 SU and 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 games as a road favorite
* ATLANTA is 15-33 ATS (31.3%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
Systems Match: 2 PLAYS, 2 FADES of ATLANTA (-4 at LVR), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 44)
* LAS VEGAS is 33-48 ATS (40.7%) when coming off SU loss since 2015
System Match: FADE LAS VEGAS (+4 vs. ATL)

NFL Rookie/Retread Coaching Systems​

This material is from the VSiN piece entitled Analyzing the New NFL Head Coaches for 2024 detailing systems that apply to rookie coaches Dave Canales (Carolina), Jerod Mayo (New England), Mike Macdonald (Seattle), Brian Callahan (Tennessee) as well as retread coaches Raheem Morris (Atlanta), Jim Harbaugh (LA Chargers), and Dan Quinn (Washington).
Rookie Coach Systems
(Games this week: CIN-TEN(+5), DAL-CAR(-3), NE(+6)-ARI, GB-SEA(+2.5))
– Rookie head coaches have shown a tendency to start and finish their first season most successfully when it comes to covering point spreads. Since 2013, in games #1-#4 of their first seasons, they’ve combined to go 85-85-8 ATS, good for 50%. In games #5-#12, they’ve gone 163-178-11 ATS (47.8%). To close the season in games #13-#17, the record has been 94-83-2 ATS (53.1%).
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): TENNESSEE, CAROLINA, NEW ENGLAND, SEATTLE
Retread Coach Systems
(Games this week: WAS(-7.5)-NO, TB-LAC(-2.5), ATL(-4)-LVR)
– Like the rookie head coaches, retread head coaches have been far more proficient at covering point spreads on the road over the last decade. Here is the breakdown: Home games – 87-119-1 ATS (42.2%). Road/Neutral games – 103-108-1 ATS (48.8%).
System Match (FADE): LA CHARGERS
– Retread head coaches have been brutal bets as favorites but respectable in the underdog role in their first seasons with a new franchise. As favorites since 2014, they’ve gone 94-69 SU but just 59-93-11 ATS, for 38.8%! As dogs (or pick ’em), 81-191 SU and 131-134-7 ATS (49.4%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): WASHINGTON, LA CHARGERS, ATLANTA
– There seems to be a noteworthy trend of momentum that comes with these re-tread head coaches. Since 2014, when coming off a win or tie, these coaches have posted a modest 80-80-1 ATS (50%) record in their first seasons. When coming off a loss, the record has been an ugly 109-145-1 ATS (42.9%) in that same time span.
System Matches (FADE ALL): LA CHARGERS, ATLANTA

 

[carlitosway]

NFL Rookie Quarterback Systems​

These NFL betting trend systems take into account rookie quarterback records in their first seasons. They include game logs of any rookie who started seven or more games in that first season. The starters this week include Caleb Williams (Chicago), Jayden Daniels (Washington), Drake Maye (New England), and Bo Nix (Denver).
(Games this week: WAS(-7.5)-NO, IND-DEN(-4), NE(+6)-ARI, CHI(+6.5)-MIN)
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #5 – Rookie quarterbacks have struggled on the road, particularly late in the season
The results of rookie quarterbacks on the road lately are startling. Since the start of the 2013 season, rookie starters have combined for a record of 119-114-1 ATS (51.1%) in home games but just 101-123-2 ATS (45.1%) in road/neutral games. In later season road games, week 10-EOY, they are just 34-99 SU and 56-75-2 ATS (42.7%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): WASHINGTON, NEW ENGLAND, CHICAGO
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #6 – Don’t fall for the big underdog point spreads with rookie quarterbacks
Since 2015, rookie starting quarterbacks facing underdog lines of 6.5 points or more have won just 19 games, going 19-118 SU and 53-80-4 ATS (39.8%).
System Match (FADE): CHICAGO
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #7 – Rookie quarterbacks have been solid bets in the home favorite role over the last four seasons
Since the start of the 2020 season, rookie starting quarterbacks have taken care of business in the home favorite role, going 38-11 SU and 35-13-1 ATS (72.9%).
System Match (PLAY): DENVER
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #10 – By type of opponent, divisional and non-conference matchups have been tougher for rookie starting quarterbacks
Since 2018, rookie QBs have fared well against non-divisional conference opponents, going 49-59 SU but 62-45-1 ATS (57.9%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WASHINGTON, DENVER
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #12 – Non-Sunday games have been a respite for rookie QBs
Rookie quarterbacks have fared reasonably well under the spotlight of non-Sunday games lately, going 19-19 SU and 25-11-2 ATS (69.4%) in their last 38 such tries. Moreover, they are 20-5-1 ATS (80%) in their last 26 Monday Night contests.
System Match (PLAY): CHICAGO

NFL Veteran Quarterback Leading New Team Systems​

These NFL betting trend systems take into account veteran quarterback records in their first season with a new team. They include game logs of 28 different veteran QBs since 2003 who have played at least eight years in the NFL and started extensively on a previous team. This week, there are three different QBs finding themselves in a new place: Aaron Rodgers (NY Jets), Russell Wilson (Pittsburgh), and Kirk Cousins (Atlanta).
(Games this week: NYJ(-3)-TEN, PIT(+5.5)-PHI, ATL(-4)-LVR)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #2 – Veteran quarterbacks are best for their new teams in the month of December
Well, like should be expected, these QBs play best in the key month of December, when postseason berths are usually on the line, going 49-47 SU and 53-40-3 ATS (57%) since 2004.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NY JETS, PITTSBURGH, ATLANTA
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #4 – Non-Sunday games have been a struggle for veteran QBs with their new teams
Veteran quarterbacks have struggled under the spotlight of non-Sunday games lately, going 24-35 SU and 24-34-1 ATS (41.4%) in their L59 such tries for their new teams. Moreover, they are 10-18-1 ATS (35.7%) in their last 29 Monday Night contests.
System Match (FADE): ATLANTA
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #9 – Veteran quarterbacks have been atrocious in the road favorite role with new teams
Since the start of the 2004 season, veteran starting quarterbacks playing their first seasons with new teams have performed terribly in the road favorite role, 43-35 SU but 28-49-1 ATS (36.4%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY JETS, ATLANTA
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #10 – Veteran quarterbacks are consistent bets as sizeable underdogs with new teams
Dating back to 2006, veteran starting quarterbacks in their first seasons with new teams have gone 44-72 SU but 66-45-5 ATS (59.5%) when playing as underdogs of 3 points or more.
System Match (PLAY): PITTSBURGH

NFL Extreme Stats Next Game Systems​

These NFL betting trend systems search for extreme statistical performances in NFL games and detail the results of the follow-up game for these teams.
CRAZY LOW SCORING GAMES COMMAND ATTENTION
NFL teams that have won a game despite scoring less than 12 points in the victory have carried the momentum through the next game with a 19-12 SU and 21-9-1 ATS (70%) record.
System Match (PLAY): JACKSONVILLE (+3 vs. NYJ)
Alternatively to #1 above, NFL teams that lose while allowing fewer than 12 points have also fared well in their follow-up game, going 18-8 SU and 21-5 ATS (80.8%) since 2015.
System Match (PLAY): TENNESSEE (+5 vs. CIN)

TNF, SNF, and MNF Team NFL Betting Trends and Systems​

The following NFL betting trends and systems come from a log of all the Thursday night (TNF), Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night (MNF) games since the start of the 2019 season. Only Thursday night games were included in the TNF study, not the day games played on Thanksgiving. The Sunday night games only included those games played on Sunday night, not all of the games covered by the NBC SNF crew, which also included some Wednesday and Saturday contests. The games analyzed were only regular-season games.
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALRoad teams have been solid, 35-42 SU and 42-32-3 ATS (56.8%) in the last 77.
System Match (PLAY): LA RAMS (+3 at SF)
There has been some interesting data regarding the first and second half of the season in terms of Thursday night games. In the first half of the season, or Weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 24-22 SU but 15-29-2 ATS (34.1%). Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in Weeks 9 and later are 43-25 SU and 40-25-3 ATS (61.5%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.
System Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-3 vs. LAR)
A long-running trend of Thursday night home-field advantage being crucial in divisional games has turned lately, with these hosts going 21-17 SU but 16-22 ATS (42.1%) since the start of the 2019 season. Prior to that, divisional hosts were on an amazing 17-2-1 ATS run.
System Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-3 vs. LAR)
More on totals, there have been 32 TNF games since 2012 with a total of 50 or greater, they went Under at a 22-10 rate (68.8%).
System Match (PLAY): LAR-SF (*if total reaches 50, it is 49.5 at the time of writing)
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Home underdogs have been competitive on Sunday night football, going 18-22 SU and 23-15-2 ATS (60.5%) dating back to 2017.
System Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (+2.5 vs. GB)
SNF teams coming off of losses have proven not ready for the big time, as they have gone just 10-26 SU and 11-25 ATS (30.6%) in their last 36 tries against teams off a win.
System Match (FADE): GREEN BAY (-2.5 at SEA)
Momentum has been big for hosts overall, as home teams on SNF coming off a loss in their last games are just 14-21 SU and 14-20-1 ATS (41.2%) in their last 35, but those coming off a win are on a current 25-6 SU and 19-12 ATS (61.3%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (+2.5 vs. GB)
OVER the total SNF Team Trends
Green Bay 15-6 Over the total since 2016
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): GB-SEA (o/u at 45.5)
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
NFL home underdogs on Monday Night are on a run of 13-15 SU and 15-12-1 ATS (55.6%) dating back to September ’21. The last 26 of these games have seen Under the total go 19-5-2 (79.2%) as well, games producing just 38.4 PPG.
Systems Match: PLAY LAS VEGAS (+4 vs. ATL), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 44)
In MNF games pitting non-conference opponents (AFC vs. NFC), home teams are 27-27 SU but 15-37-2 ATS (28.8%) in the last 54.
System Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS (+4 vs ATL)
Home teams have enjoyed little advantage in divisional MNF games of late, going 15-15 SU and 10-19-1 ATS (34.5%) in their last 30 tries.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (-6.5 vs CHI)
Won/lost records have mattered on MNF, as teams with the better record are 38-35 SU but just 26-45-2 ATS (36.6%) in the last 73 MNF games not matching teams with identical records.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CHICAGO (+6.5 at MIN), LAS VEGAS (+4 vs ATL)
UNDER the total MNF Team Trends
Chicago 9-3-1 Under in the last 13
Minnesota 12-2 Under in the last 14
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): CHI-MIN (o/u at 43.5)
If you’ve picked up from each of the team trends sections that certain teams are consistently doing well or poorly, or are going Over or Under regularly, you’re right. Here are some overall primetime game trends that you’re going to want to consider:
Good PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Green Bay 16-8 SU and 17-6-1 ATS in the last 24
Trend Match (PLAY): GREEN BAY (-2.5 at SEA)
Bad PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Chicago 4-11 SU and 5-10 ATS in the last 15
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+6.5 at MIN)
UNDER the total PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Atlanta 13-1 to the Under in the last 14
LA Rams 14-6 Under surge
Minnesota 22-12 Under primetime record since 2015
Seattle 9-5 Under in the last 14
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER in ALL 4 GAMES): LAR-SF (o/u at 49.5), SEA-GB (o/u at 45.5), CHI-MIN (o/u at 43.5), ATL-LVR (o/u at 44)

NFL Streaks Provide Some Advantages for Bettors​

The following NFL betting trend systems were part of an article released in Week 8 of the 2023 NFL season focusing on winning and losing streaks. There were 15 different systems cited. These listed are the ones that have qualifying plays for this week’s action.
NFL Streaks Betting System #1: NFL teams that have lost their last three games ATS, all when favored, are on a 42-15 SU and 33-22-2 ATS (60%) run when favored in the next game as well.
System Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (-4 at CLE)
NFL Streaks Betting System #4: NFL teams that have won their last three games ATS with a point margin of +10 or less in that stretch have gone just 17-45 SU and 18-40-4 ATS (31%) in game #4 since 2003.
System Match (FADE): CAROLINA (-3 vs. DAL)
NFL Streaks Betting System #7: NFL road teams that have lost their last three games outright and are facing a team with more than a 50% winning percentage better than them are 13-76 SU but 59-30 ATS (66.3%) as underdogs of 5.5-points or more since 2006.
System Match (PLAY): CHICAGO (+6.5 at MIN)
NFL Streaks Betting System #8: NFL teams that have lost their last five games ATS but were playing against a team whom they have at least an equal won-lost record with have gone 21-15 SU and ATS (58.3%) in their last 36 tries.
System Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (-4 at CLE)
NFL Streaks Betting System #10: NFL teams that have lost their last four games ATS are 21-26 SU but 28-17-2 ATS (62.2%) in their last 47 games versus non-conference foes.
System Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (-4 at LVR)
NFL Streaks Betting System #12: NFL teams that have lost at least their last three games outright have gone 60-37 SU but 38-55-4 ATS (40.9%) when favored by 3 points or more since 2013.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY JETS (-3 at JAX), CAROLINA (-3 vs. DAL), ARIZONA (-6 vs. NE), ATLANTA (-4 at LVR)
NFL Streaks Betting System #14: NFL teams playing on Monday Night Football after losing at least their last five games outright have gone 6-12 SU but 14-4 ATS (77.8%) in their last 18 tries.
System Match (PLAY ALL): CHICAGO (+6.5 at MIN), LAS VEGAS (+4 vs. ATL)

Post-Bye Week NFL Betting Trends and Systems​

The following NFL betting trends and systems are from the long-running article series detailing pre- and post-bye week performance. These records are from only in-season bye weeks and do not include playoffs or preseason.
Post-bye week system #1:
Play on road favorites coming out of their bye week. (Record: 112-47 SU and 93-62-4 ATS since 1999, 60%, +24.8 Units, 16% ROI, Grade 65)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WASHINGTON (-7.5 at NO), BALTIMORE (-16 at NYG)
Post-bye week road favorite subsystems:
– vs. non-conference opponents. (Record: 33-16-3 ATS since 2000, 67.3%, +15.4 Units, 31.4% ROI, Grade 68)
System Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (-16 at NYG)
Post-bye week system #5:
Play against double-digit favorites coming off their bye week. (Record: 18-7-1 ATS since 2014, 72%, +10.3 Units, 41.2% ROI, Grade 64)
System Match (FADE): BALTIMORE (-16 at NYG)
Post-bye week system #6:
Play against road teams coming off their bye week and facing a non-divisional conference opponent. (Record: 23-12 SU and 24-11 ATS since 2019, 68.6%, +11.9 Units, 34% ROI, Grade 62)
System Matches (FADE): WASHINGTON (-7.5 at NO), INDIANAPOLIS (+4 at DEN)
Post-bye week system #8:
Play Under the total with road teams coming off their bye week (Record: 39-16 since 2021, 70.9%, +21.4 Units, 38.9% ROI, Grade 70)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): WAS-NO (o/u at 43.5), BAL-NYG (o/u at 42.5), IND-DEN (o/u at 44), NE-ARI (o/u at 46)
Post-bye week system #10:
Play Under the total in games where a team is coming out of its bye week after losing in upset fashion before the bye. (Record: 32-15-1 Under since ’92, 68.1%, +15.5 Units, 33% ROI, Grade 62)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BAL-NYG (o/u at 42.5)
** Please note that the systems above and all of the following trends only include bye week games from the regular season schedule, not playoffs.
Baltimore Ravens Post-Bye Week Game: 12/15 at New York Giants
· Baltimore has lost four straight post-bye week games ATS after a 9-3 ATS run prior
Trend Match (FADE): BALTIMORE (-16 at NYG)
· The Ravens are 8-0 SU and 5-3 ATS in their previous eight post-bye week games vs. NFC foes
Trend Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (-16 at NYG)
Denver Broncos Post-Bye Week Game: 12/15 vs. Indianapolis Colts
· Denver has gone 18-7 SU and 19-6 ATS in post-bye week games since 2000
Trend Match (PLAY): DENVER (-4 vs IND)
· The Broncos are on a 12-4 Under the total surge in post-bye week games
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): IND-DEN (o/u at 44)
Houston Texans Post-Bye Week Game: 12/15 vs. Miami Dolphins
· Houston has gone 4-1 Under the total in its last five post-bye week home games
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): MIA-HOU (o/u at 47)
· The Texans are just 1-5 ATS in their last six post-bye week games overall
Trend Match (FADE): HOUSTON (-3 vs. MIA)
Indianapolis Colts Post-Bye Week Game: 12/15 at Denver Broncos
· Indianapolis has gone 15-4 SU and 14-4-1 ATS in its last 19 post-bye week games overall, including 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in the last five
Trend Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLIS (+4 at DEN)
· The Colts are 5-1 Over the total in the last six post-bye week games, scoring 32.2 PPG
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): IND-DEN (o/u at 44)
New England Patriots Post-Bye Week Game: 12/15 at Arizona Cardinals
· The Patriots are on a 1-5 SU and ATS skid in post-bye week games as underdogs
Trend Match (FADE): NEW ENGLAND (+6 at ARI)
· New England is on a 6-0 Under the total streak in post-bye week games, scoring just 15 PPG
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NE-ARI (o/u at 46)
Washington Commanders Post-Bye Week Game: 12/15 at New Orleans Saints
· Washington is just 4-12 SU and 2-14 ATS in its last 16 post-bye week games
Trend Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (-7.5 at NO)
· The Redskins are on an 0-6 SU and ATS losing streak in post-bye week road games, outscored by 14.2 PPG
Trend Match (FADE): WASHINGTON (-7.5 at NO)

Handicapping NFL Rematch Games​

The following trends and betting systems come from same-season rematch data over the last 13 seasons
Best NFL rematch teams lately
San Francisco: 14-6 SU and ATS in the last 20
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-3 vs. LAR)
Worst NFL rematch teams lately
Chicago: 3-13 ATS in the last 16
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+6.5 at MIN)
Minnesota current 5-12 SU and 4-13 ATS slide
Trend Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (-6.5 vs. CHI)
Best NFL ROAD rematch teams lately
LA Rams: 9-3 SU and 11-1 ATS in the last 12 on road
Trend Match (PLAY): LA RAMS (+3 at SF)
Worst NFL ROAD rematch teams lately
Chicago: 2-9 ATS in the last 11 roadies
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+6.5 at MIN)
Worst NFL REVENGE teams lately
Chicago: 5-19 SU and 7-16-1 ATS in the last 24 revenge tries
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO (+6.5 at MIN)
High-scoring rematch teams
Minnesota: Over iin 12 of the last 14 rematch games
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CHI-MIN (o/u at 43.5)

This Week’s NFL Strength Ratings​

The following NFL betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parenthesis).
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NEW ORLEANS +7.5 (+1.3)
2(tie). LA RAMS +3 (+1.0)
NY GIANTS +16 (+1.0)
4. TAMPA BAY +2.5 (+0.8)
5. TENNESSEE +5 (+0.7)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. ARIZONA -6 (+3.0)
2. DENVER -4 (+2.1)
3. MINNESOTA -6.5 (+1.8)
4. KANSAS CITY -4 (+1.0)
5. ATLANTA -4 (+0.3)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NY GIANTS +16 (+1.5)
2. PITTSBURGH +5.5 (+1.2)
3. SEATTLE +2.5 (+1.0)
4. LA RAMS +3 (+0.6)
5. DALLAS +3 (+0.3)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. CINCINNATI -5 (+1.5)
2. MINNESOTA -6.5 (+0.8)
3. NY JETS -3 (+0.7)
4. LA CHARGERS -2.5 (+0.6)
5. ARIZONA -6 (+0.5)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. PIT-PHI OVER 42.5 (+5.5)
2. CIN-TEN OVER 46.5 (+2.6)
3. MIA-HOU OVER 47 (+2.2)
4. BUF-DET OVER 54.5 (+2.1)
5. TB-LAC OVER 45.5 (+1.8)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NE-ARI UNDER 46 (-2.9)
2. ATL-LVR UNDER 44 (-1.3)
3. KC-CLE UNDER 44 (-1.0)
4. LAR-SF UNDER 48.5 (-0.6)
5. DAL-CAR UNDER 43 (-0.5)
This week’s Top 4 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NY GIANTS +16 (+3.2)
2. TAMPA BAY +2.5 (+1.7)
3. DALLAS +3 (+0.9)
4. PITTSBURGH +5.5 (+0.1)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. WASHINGTON -7.5 (+3.6)
2. KANSAS CITY -4 (+2.7)
3. ATLANTA -4 (+2.5)
4. NY JETS -3 (+1.4)
5. SAN FRANCISCO -3 (+1.3)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1(tie). WAS-NO OVER 43.5 (+2.4)
GB-SEA OVER 45.5 (+2.4)
3. PIT-PHI OVER 42.5 (+1.9)
4(tie). MIA-HOU OVER 47 (+1.6)
CIN-TEN OVER 46.5 (+1.6)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NE-ARI UNDER 46 (-2.0)
2. CHI-MIN UNDER 43.5 (-1.9)
3. KC-CLE UNDER 44 (-1.2)
4(tie). LAR-SF UNDER 48.5 (-0.1)
ATL-LVR UNDER 44 (-0.1)

Top Head-to-Head Series NFL Betting Trends​

These are the top head-to-head series NFL betting trends between teams from recent years’ action:
(451) LA RAMS at (452) SAN FRANCISCO
* Under the total is 8-3 in the last 11 of the LAR-SF series in San Francisco
Trend Match: PLAY UNDER the total
(463) BALTIMORE at (464) NY GIANTS
* Home teams are on a 5-0-1 ATS run in the BAL-NYG series
Trend Match: PLAY NY GIANTS ATS
(471) BUFFALO at (472) DETROIT
* The last seven games of the BUF-DET series went Under the total
Trend Match: PLAY UNDER the total
(461) CINCINNATI at (462) TENNESSEE
* CINCINNATI is on an 8-2 ATS run vs. Tennessee
Trend Match: PLAY CINCINNATI ATS
(467) DALLAS at (468) CAROLINA
* Favorites are on a 6-0 SU and ATS streak in the DAL-CAR series
Trend Match: PLAY CAROLINA ATS
(479) GREEN BAY at (480) SEATTLE
* GREEN BAY is on a 6-0-1 ATS run versus Seattle
Trend Match: PLAY GREEN BAY ATS
(473) INDIANAPOLIS at (474) DENVER
* INDIANAPOLIS is 5-1 ATS in the last six visits to Denver
Trend Match: PLAY INDIANAPOLIS ATS
(465) KANSAS CITY at (466) CLEVELAND
* Road teams are on a 7-1 ATS surge in the KC-CLE series
Trend Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY ATS
12/15/2024 (457) MIAMI at (458) HOUSTON
* Favorites have won the last six SU and ATS in the MIA-HOU series
Trend Match: PLAY HOUSTON ATS
(477) NEW ENGLAND at (478) ARIZONA
* NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 SU and ATS at Arizona since 1993
Trend Match: PLAY NEW ENGLAND ATS
(459) NY JETS at (460) JACKSONVILLE
* JACKSONVILLE is 4-1 ATS in the last five hosting NY Jets
Trend Match: PLAY JACKSONVILLE ATS
(469) PITTSBURGH at (470) PHILADELPHIA
* PHILADELPHIA is on a 4-0 SU and ATS streak hosting Pittsburgh
Trend Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA ATS
(475) TAMPA BAY at (476) LA CHARGERS
* Over the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the TB-LAC series
Trend Match: PLAY OVER the total
(455) WASHINGTON at (456) NEW ORLEANS
* Over the total is 11-1 in the last 12 of the WAS-NO series
Trend Match: PLAY OVER the total
(483) ATLANTA at (484) LAS VEGAS
* Underdogs have swept the last three ATS in the ATL-LVR series
Trend Match: PLAY LAS VEGAS ATS
(481) CHICAGO at (482) MINNESOTA
* Underdogs are 5-1-1 in the last seven of the CHI-MIN series at Minnesota
Trend Match: PLAY CHICAGO ATS